House price bubbles in China

作者:Ren, Yu; Xiong, Cong; Yuan, Yufei*
来源:China Economic Review, 2012, 23(4): 786-800.
DOI:10.1016/j.chieco.2012.04.001

摘要

In this paper, we apply the theory of rational expectation bubbles proposed by Blanchard and Watson (1983) to the Chinese housing market. The theory implies that negative returns on house prices are less likely to occur if the bubbles exist. Based on data from 35 cities in China, we find no evidence to support the existence of such bubbles in the Chinese housing market.