Development and Validation of a Risk Score to Predict QT Interval Prolongation in Hospitalized Patients

作者：Tisdale James E^*; Jaynes Heather A; Kingery Joanna R; Mourad Noha A; Trujillo Tate N; Overholser Brian R; Kovacs Richard J

来源：Circulation-Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes, 2013, 6(4): 479-487.

DOI：10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.113.000152

• electrocardiography
• predictors
• QT interval
• risk factors
• torsades de pointes

Background
Identifying hospitalized patients at risk for QT interval prolongation could lead to interventions to reduce the risk of torsades de pointes. Our objective was to develop and validate a risk score for QT prolongation in hospitalized patients.
Methods and Results
In this study, in a single tertiary care institution, consecutive patients (n=900) admitted to cardiac care units comprised the risk score development group. The score was then applied to 300 additional patients in a validation group. Corrected QT (QT(c)) interval prolongation (defined as QT(c)>500 ms or an increase of >60 ms from baseline) occurred in 274 (30.4%) and 90 (30.0%) patients in the development group and validation group, respectively. Independent predictors of QT(c) prolongation included the following: female (odds ratio, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-2.0), diagnosis of myocardial infarction (2.4 [1.6-3.9]), septic shock (2.7 [1.5-4.8]), left ventricular dys2.7 [1.6-5.0]), administration of a QT-prolonging drug (2.8 [2.0-4.0]), 2 QT-prolonging drugs (2.6 [1.9-5.6]), or loop diuretic (1.4 [1.0-2.0]), age >68 years (1.3 [1.0-1.9]), serum K+ <3.5 mEq/L (2.1 [1.5-2.9]), and admitting QT(c) >450 ms (2.3; confidence interval [1.6-3.2]). Risk scores were developed by assigning points based on log odds ratios. Low-, moderate-, and high-risk ranges of 0 to 6, 7 to 10, and 11 to 21 points, respectively,

• 出版日期2013-7