A multicriteria approach to sustainable energy supply for the rural poor

作者：Henao Felipe; Cherni Judith A; Jaramillo Patricia; Dyner Isaac^*

来源：European Journal of Operational Research, 2012, 218(3): 801-809.

DOI：10.1016/j.ejor.2011.11.033

• Decision analysis
• OR in energy
• Multiple criteria analysis
• Robustness and sensitivity analysis
• OR in societal problem analysis

Despite significant progress in energy technology, about two billion people worldwide, particularly the poor in rural areas of developing countries, have no access to electricity. Decision-making concerning the most appropriate energy technology for supplying these areas has been difficult; existing energy decision-support tools have been useful but are mostly incomplete. Trade-offs, as well as impacts that can be positive or negative, may emerge as a result of implementing modern forms of energy. These can affect both community's livelihoods as well as the confidence of decision-makers in relation to alternative technologies. The paper discusses a newly designed multicriteria approach and its novel robustness analysis for selecting energy generation systems for the improvement of livelihoods in rural areas. The proposed methodology builds upon a sustainable rural livelihoods framework to address multiple interactions and calculate trade-offs aimed at boosting decision-makers' confidence in the selected technologies. The methodology is tested via a case study in Colombia.

• 出版日期2012-5-1