Agent-Based Socio-Hydrological Hybrid Modeling for Water Resource Management

作者：Bakarji Joseph^*; O'Malley Daniel; Vesselinov Velimir V

来源：Water Resources Management, 2017, 31(12): 3881-3898.

DOI：10.1007/s11269-017-1713-7

• Sociohydrology
• Decision support systems
• Computational social dynamics

Hybrid socio-hydrological modeling has become indispensable for managing water resources in an increasingly unstable ecology caused by human activity. Most work on the subject has been focused on either qualitative socio-political recommendations with an unbounded list of vague factors or complex sociological and hydrological models with many assumptions and specialized usability. In this paper, we propose a simple agent-based socio-hydrological decision modeling framework for coupling dynamics associated with social behavior and groundwater contamination. The study shows that using social health risk, instead of contaminant concentration, as an optimization variable improves water management decisions aimed at maximizing social wellbeing. The social models and computational framework are designed with enough flexibility and simplicity to encourage extensions to more general socio-hydrological dynamics without compromising either computability or complexity for better data-/model-driven environmental management.

• 出版日期2017-9