Scenario Map Based Stochastic Unit Commitment

作者：Du, Ershun; Zhang, Ning; Kang, Chongqing^*; Xia, Qing

来源：IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2018, 33(5): 4694-4705.

DOI：10.1109/TPWRS.2018.2799954

• Renewable energy
• stochastic unit commitment
• scenario mapping technique
• scenario reduction technique
• generation uncertainty
• ramp uncertainty

In the power system stochastic unit commitment (SUC) model, the uncertainty and variability of the renewable energy generation, such as wind power, are usually expressed by multiple scenarios. The performance of SUC is driven by how well the selected scenarios represent the stochastic nature, since too few scenarios may lose or distort the uncertainty or variability characteristics, while too many scenarios usually cause computational difficulty. This paper proposes a novel scenario representation method referred to as scenario mapping technology (SMT), which is able to compact large amount of scenarios while preserving the uncertainty and variability features of wind power as much as possible. Specifically, SMT proposes to combine similar wind power generation into a state at each period and contains the possible multiple transitions linking the states in adjacent periods. A novel two-stage SUCmodel is proposed based on SMT. The numerical results demonstrate a solid improvement of the performance for the SMT-based SUC model on both cost-efficiency and calculation efficiency, compared with traditional two-stage SUC model based on the scenario reduction technique.

• 出版日期2018-9
• 单位清华大学