摘要

Model combination can improve prediction performance of regression model by an optimal integration of all given base models. In this paper, we propose an effective method for model combination of Lasso for improved prediction performance. First, we construct the candidate model set on the Lasso regularization path. The regularization path can record the Lasso solutions for all values of the regularization parameter, moreover, its inherent piecewise linearity makes the construction of the candidate model set simple and efficient. Then, in the testing or predicting phase, we apply the minimal neighborhood method to determine the input-sensitive combination model set, and perform the Beyesian model combination. Finally, we estimate the posterior probability of each model in the combination model set using the BIC criterion, which can be computed along with the Lasso regularization path algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the model combination method.

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