Developing and validating of Ramathibodi Appendicitis Score (RAMA-AS) for diagnosis of appendicitis in suspected appendicitis patients

作者:Wilasrusmee Chumpon; Siribumrungwong Boonying; Phuwapraisirisan Samart; Poprom Napaphat; Woratanarat Patarawan; Lertsithichai Panuwat; Attia John; Thakkinstian Ammarin*
来源:World Journal of Emergency Surgery, 2017, 12(1): 49.
DOI:10.1186/s13017-017-0160-3

摘要

Background: Diagnosis of appendicitis is still clinically challenging where resources are limited. The purpose of this study was to develop and externally validate Ramathibodi Appendicitis Score (RAMA-AS) in aiding diagnosis of appendicitis. Methods: A two-phase cross-sectional study (i.e., derivation and validation) was conducted at Ramathibodi Hospital (for derivation) and at Thammasat University Hospital and Chaiyaphum Hospital (for validation). Patients with abdominal pain and suspected of having appendicitis were enrolled. Multiple logistic regression was applied to develop a parsimonious model. Calibration and discrimination performances were assessed. In addition, our RAMA-AS was compared with Alvarado's score performances using ROC curve analysis. Results: The RAMA-AS consisted of three domains with seven predictors including symptoms (i.e., progression of pain, aggravation of pain, and migration of pain), signs (i.e., fever and rebound tenderness), and laboratory tests (i.e., white blood cell count (WBC) and neutrophil). The model fitted well with data, and it performed better discrimination than the Alvarado score with C-statistics of 0.842 (95% CI 0.804, 0.881) versus 0.760 (0. 710, 0.810). Internal validation by bootstrap yielded Sommer's D of 0.686 (0.608, 0.763) and C-statistics of 0.848 (0.846, 0.849). The C-statistics of two external validations were 0.853 (0.791, 0.915) and 0.813 (0.736, 0.892) with fair calibrations. Conclusion: RAMA-AS should be a useful tool for aiding diagnosis of appendicitis with good calibration and discrimination performances.

  • 出版日期2017-11-9