Natural Disaster Occurrence and Average Global Temperature

作者：Pan Xubin^*; Shen Danna; Dong Xuejun; Patton Bob

来源：Disaster Advances, 2011, 4(4): 61-63.

• Climate change
• emergency events database
• linear regression

In the context of climate change, there is potential for a higher frequency of natural disasters. Here a linear regression analysis is employed to link the relationship between the natural disaster occurrence and average global temperature from 1980 to 2010. The results indicate that epidemic, extreme temperature, flood and storm events are strongly affected by climate. If the average global temperature increases by 1 degrees C, the occurrence of epidemic, extreme temperature, flood and storm would increase by 101, 42, 268 and 95 occurrences per year respectively.

• 出版日期2011-10