A unique neuro-fuzzy approach for improved prediction of tire reliability analysis with noisy life data

作者：Azadeh A^*; Rafiee K; Neshat N; Zohrevand A M

来源：Journal of the Chinese Institute of Engineers, 2015, 38(4): 503-516.

DOI：10.1080/02533839.2014.999853

• tire reliability prediction
• artificial neural network
• fuzzy linear regression
• complexity
• non-linearity
• limited and inconsistent data
• analysis of variance

This article presents a novel adaptive approach consisting of artificial neural network (ANN) and fuzzy linear regression (FLR) for improved estimation and analysis of tire reliability. This approach undertakes to improve estimating the actual reliability of tires in the field using tire life data, which are obtained from laboratory test data. In this study, a particular failure mode known as tread and belt separation is considered and viewed as the resultant of some tire geometry and physical properties. According to the proposed approach, ANN and FLR approaches were applied to the provided data in order to capture the potential complexity, uncertainty, and non-linear relation between reliability function and its determinants. Next, the preferred ANN was selected based on sensitivity analysis results of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) function while the preferred FLR was identified according to the analysis of variance, MAPE, and index of confidence results. The results obtained from performance comparison of both models demonstrated the considerable superiority of the preferred ANN over preferred FLR considering the non-linear and complex nature of reliability function. This is the first study that presents an ANN-FLR approach for accurate estimation and analysis of tire reliability, which is capable of handling complexity and non-linearity, uncertainty, pre-processing and post-processing.

• 出版日期2015-6