科研之友
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摘要
Based on 2015 abundance of Aedes albopictus in nine northern Italian municipalities with temperate continental/oceanicclimate, we estimated the basic reproductive number R-o for Zika virus (ZIKV) to be systematically below the epidemic threshold in most scenarios. Results were sensitive to the value of the probability of mosquito infection after biting a viraemic host. Therefore, further studies are required to improve models and predictions, namely evaluating vector competence and potential non-vector transmissions.
- 出版日期2016-4-14
