摘要

This paper proposes to analyze the dispersion of pollutants in aquatic systems, solving the advection-diffusion equation using numerical methods and fuzzy sets. For solution, numerical approximations were adopted, based on the finite element method for the spatial discretization and Crank-Nicolson for the time variable. The parameters of the equation were modeled taking into account aspects of multiple varieties of natural phenomena, based on fuzzy sets. The two-dimensional model resulted in the value of pollutant dispersion taking into account the flow velocity, in situations of prevailing winds in the region of a reservoir of Sao Paulo. According to the results, it was observed that the integration of the numerical methods and the fuzzy parameters is a potential instrument for environmental process analysis. The rule-based systems allowed a better design of the local natural phenomena. The spread of the plumes of pollutants was well defined by the model and the simulated scenarios are in agreement, from a qualitative point of view, with the local reality.

  • 出版日期2017-12

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