A SEASONALLY FORCED EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH TARGETED ANTIVIRAL PROPHYLAXIS

作者：Qiu Zhipeng^*

来源：Journal of Biological Systems, 2010, 18(4): 809-823.

DOI：10.1142/S0218339010003524

• Epidemic Model
• Targeted Prophylaxis
• Seasonality
• Reproduction Number

In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to describe the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases with targeted antiviral prophylaxis strategy. Our model incorporates seasonal driving force since seasonal force has a great effect on the spread of infectious diseases. Based on the local stability of disease free equilibrium we derive the control reproduction number R(0). Sufficient conditions for the global stability of the disease free equilibrium are obtained. Using the persistence theory for discrete dynamical system, we prove that the infectious disease will remain endemic if R(0) > 1. Simulation results are also provided to study the effect of targeted antiviral prophylaxis on transmission dynamics of infectious disease and investigate the influence of seasonality on the efficiency of targeted antiviral prophylaxis strategy.

• 出版日期2010-12
• 单位南京理工大学