Application of the Capture-Recapture Method in Estimating the Size of the Active Homosexual Male Population in Hangzhou City of China

作者：Zhou, Weihua; Huang, Manli; Wei, Ning; Hu, Shaohua; Wei, Erqing; Xu, Yi^*

来源：Asia-Pacific Journal of Public Health, 2015, 27(2): NP2423-NP2432.

DOI：10.1177/1010539512448211

• homosexual male
• population size
• capture-recapture methods

The homosexual population is particularly susceptible to sexually transmitted disease because of various high-risk sexual behaviors among them. The authors explored the application of capture-recapture methods in estimating the size of the sexually active homosexual male population in Hangzhou. Homosexual men at 9 activity sites were investigated in Hangzhou, Zhejiang. The total active homosexual male population of Hangzhou estimated by the capture-recapture method and multiplier method was 2014 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1899-2129) and 2012.5 (95% CI 1925 to 2101), respectively. This study shows that the capture-recapture method can be used to enumerate and provide accurate and reliable estimates of the active homosexual population in any area, provided that certain conditions are controlled.

• 出版日期2015-3
• 单位浙江大学