Assessment of the urban development plan of Beijing by using a CA-based urban growth model

作者：Chen J^*; Gong P; He CY; Luo W; Tamura M; Shi PJ

来源：Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 2002, 68(10): 1063-1071.

We developed a CA-based urban growth simulation model to emulate the city growth before 1997 and simulate possible change scenarios after that; An adaptive Monte-Carlo method was used to automate the calibration of factor weights used in the CA transitional rules. We used one scene of Landsat MSS imagery from 1975 and three scenes of TM imagery from 1984, 1991, and 1997 to classify the land-use patterns, and we used the results to calibrate the CA model. We applied the model to assess the general urban development plan entitled "disperse polycentric urban development plan" of Beijing City and found that the plan failed to meet its objectives.

• 出版日期2002-10
• 单位南京大学