A stochastic model for multifractal behavior of stock prices

作者:Fulco UL*; Lyra ML; Petroni F; Serva M; Viswanathan GM
来源:International Journal of Modern Physics B, 2004, 18(4-5): 681-689.
DOI:10.1142/S0217979204024306

摘要

We investigate the general problem of how to model the kinematics of stock prices without considering the dynamical causes of motion. We propose a Markovian stochastic process which is able to reproduce the experimentally observed volatility clustering and fat tails in the probability density functions (PDF) of financial time series. More importantly, the process also reproduces the PDF time scaling, the power law memory of volatility and the apparent multifractality of the time series up to the time scale which is experimentally observable.

  • 出版日期2004-2-20

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