Analysis of precipitation and drought data in Serbia over the period 1980-2010

作者：Gocic Milan^*; Trajkovic Slavisa

来源：Journal of Hydrology, 2013, 494: 32-42.

DOI：10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.04.044

• Trend analysis
• Precipitation
• Drought
• Statistical tests
• Serbia

Precipitation and Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) trends were analyzed by using linear regression, Mann-Kendall and Spearman's Rho tests at the 5% significance level. For this purpose, meteorological data from 12 synoptic stations in Serbia over the period 1980-2010 were used. Two main drought periods were detected (1987-1994 and 2000-2003), while the extremely dry year was recorded in 2000 at all stations. The monthly analysis of precipitation series suggests that all stations had a decreasing trend in February and September, while both increasing and decreasing trends were found in other months. On the seasonal scale, there were the increasing trends in autumn and winter precipitation series, while on the annual scale the most of the stations had no significant trends. Besides, the decreasing trend was found at the Belgrade and Kragujevac stations, while the other stations had the increasing trend for the SPI-12 series.

• 出版日期2013-6-28