A threshold policy to interrupt transmission of West Nile Virus to birds

作者:Zhou, Weike; Xiao, Yanni*; Cheke, Robert A.
来源:Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2016, 40(19-20): 8794-8809.
DOI:10.1016/j.apm.2016.05.040

摘要

This paper proposes a model of West Nile Virus (WNV) with a Filippov-type control strategy of culling mosquitoes implemented once the number of infected birds exceeds a threshold level. The long-term dynamical behaviour of the, proposed non-smooth system is investigated. It is shown that as the threshold value varies, model solutions ultimately approach either one of two endemic equilibria for two subsystems or a pseudo-equilibrium on the switching surface, which is a novel steady state. The results indicate that a previously chosen level of infected birds can be maintained when the threshold policy and other parameters are chosen properly. Numerical studies show that under the threshold policy, strengthening mosquito culling together with protecting bird population is beneficial to curbing the spread of WNV.