Using the SPI to interpret spatial and temporal conditions of drought in China

作者:Wagan Bakhtawar; Zhang Zhanyu*; Feng Baopeing; Wagan Hakimzadi; Han Si; Ahmad Ijaz; Kabo Bah Amos T
来源:Outlook on Agriculture, 2015, 44(3): 235-241.
DOI:10.5367/oa.2015.0217

摘要

The start and duration of a drought are often not easy to define. The advance and onset are usually slow and the social and economic impacts can then extend over a long period. In this study, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to describe and compare droughts in different periods and regions under different climatic conditions. The importance of the index lies in its simplicity and in its ability to identify the beginning and end of a drought event. Thus it may be a useful tool for drought contingency planning. This paper examines the SPI by evaluating its application using historical precipitation data from nine weather stations in China. Different time series data covering the period 1980 to 2011 and for differing timescales of 3, 9 and 24 months were used. The results underline the potential of the SPI to inform drought alerts and forecasting efforts as part of a drought contingency planning strategy.