A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Historical Droughts in Korea

作者:Kim Do Woo; Byun Hi Ryong*; Choi Ki Seon; Oh Su Bin
来源:Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 2011, 50(9): 1895-1912.
DOI:10.1175/2011JAMC2664.1

摘要

The climatological characteristics of drought in South Korea were investigated using daily precipitation data for 1777-2008. The effective drought index was used to quantify the drought intensity. As a result, five characteristics were discovered. First, South Korea can be divided into four drought subregions (the central, southern, and east coastal regions and Jeju Island) using hierarchical cluster analysis. Second, a map for long-term drought conditions in the four subregions is created that allows identification of the spatiotemporal distribution of droughts for the 231 yr at a glance. Third, droughts in South Korea have time scales that depend on the onset season. Spring (March-May) droughts tend to be short (<= 200 days) because the summer (June-September) rainy season follows. Summer droughts tend to be long (>200 days) because the dry season (October-February) follows. In the dry season, droughts tend to be sustained or become severe rather than being initiated or relieved. Fourth, 5-, 14-, 34-, and 115-yr drought cycles were identified by spectral analysis. The 5-yr cycle was dominant in all of the regions, the 14-yr cycle was observed over the southern and east coastal regions, and the 34-yr cycle was observed over the central region. Fifth, the most extreme drought occurred in 1897-1903 (return period: 233 yr) and was associated with the 115-yr drought cycle. After this drought, severe droughts (return period of >10 yr) occurred in 1927-30, 1938-40, 1942-45, 1951-52, 1967-69, and 1994-96; they were caused by the consecutive shortage of summer rainfall for two or more years.

  • 出版日期2011-9