Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens

作者：Lloyd Smith James O^*; Funk Sebastian; McLean Angela R; Riley Steven; Wood James L N

来源：Epidemics, 2015, 10: 35-39.

DOI：10.1016/j.epidem.2014.09.002

• Emerging infectious diseases
• Zoonosis
• Infectious disease dynamics
• Host jump
• Cross-species spillover transmission

Studying the emergence of novel infectious agents involves many processes spanning host species, spatial scales, and scientific disciplines. Mathematical models play an essential role in combining insights from these investigations and drawing robust inferences from field and experimental data. We describe nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the interface between models and data.

• 出版日期2015-3
• 单位NIH