Artificial Models for Interbasin Flow Prediction in Southern Turkey

作者：Keskin M Erol^*; Taylan Dilek

来源：Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 2009, 14(7): 752-758.

DOI：10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000051

The aim of this study was to develop an optimum flow prediction method, based on the adaptive neural-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and artificial neural network (ANN). Each methodology was applied to river flow predicting in Manavgat Stream in the southern part of Turkey. In application, Manavgat Stream flows were predicted from Dalaman Stream, Alara Stream, and Goumlksu Stream flows. Each stream is located in different catchments. For monthly streamflow predictions, data were taken from the General Directorate of Electrical Power Resources Survey and Development Administration. Used data covered a 35-year period (1969-2003) for monthly streamflows. The ANFIS and ANN models had only one output with three input variables. Comparison of the ANFIS and ANN models showed a better agreement between the ANFIS model estimations and measurements of monthly flows than ANN. With the help of the ANFIS model for interbasin flow prediction, it was possible to estimate missing or unmeasured data.

• 出版日期2009-7