LOOKING FORWARD IN RECORDS OF YOUTH ABUSED AS CHILDREN: RISKS FOR HOMICIDAL, VIOLENT, AND DELINQUENT OFFENSES

作者:Hughes John Russell; Zagar Robert John*; Busch Kenneth G; Grove William M; Arbit Jack
来源:Psychological Reports, 2009, 104(1): 77-101.
DOI:10.2466/PR0.104.1.77-101

摘要

To study risks of abuse, violence, and homicide, 181 Abused Children (M age=12.85 yr., SD=2.74; 58 girls, 123 boys) were matched with 181 clinic-referred Controls. Data analysis was Shao's bootstrapped logistic regression with area under curve (AUC) and odds ratios (OR). Predictors of abused status were court contacts (OR=2.04e+22) and poorer executive OR=.81; AUC=.99; 95%CI=.97-99). Groups were tracked forward in records for 9 years (M=8.78 yr., SD=1.41). Looking forward, youth (M age=21.63 yr., SD=2.07) were classified into Abused Children Later Homicidal (5%, n=10), Abused Children Later Violent (23%, 11=41), Abused Children Later Delinquent (28%, n=50), Abused Children Later Nondelinquent (44%, n=80), and Controls (n=181). Data were analyzed with two more logistic regressions. Predictors of Abused Children Later Homicidal compared with Controls were number of court contacts (OR =50,398.78) and poorer executive OR=79.72; AUC=.91; 95%CI=-80-.95). The predictor of Abused Children Later Homicidal contrasted with Abused Children Later Nondelinquent was Court contacts (OR=2,077,089,352; AUC=.87; 95%CI=.65-.95). The common predictor for Abused Children and Abused Children Later Homicidal groups Was court contacts.