科研之友
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摘要
We provide yet another proof of the existence of calibrated forecasters; it has two merits. First, it is valid for an arbitrary finite number of outcomes. Second, it is short and simple and it follows from a direct application of Blackwell's approachability theorem to a carefully chosen vector-valued payoff function and convex target set. Our proof captures the essence of existing proofs based on approachability (e. g., the proof by Foster [Foster, D. 1999. A proof of calibration via Blackwell's approachability theorem. Games Econom. Behav. 29 73-78] in the case of binary outcomes) and highlights the intrinsic connection between approachability and calibration.
- 出版日期2010-11
- 单位INRIA
