Application of a Cloud Model-Set Pair Analysis in Hazard Assessment for Biomass Gasification Stations

作者：Yan, Fang; Xu, Kaili^*

来源：PLos One, 2017, 12(1): e0170012.

DOI：10.1371/journal.pone.0170012

• F-AND-EI
• RENEWABLE ENERGY
• RISK-ASSESSMENT
• ENTROPY WEIGHT
• CHINA
• UNCERTAINTY
• FIRE
• FUEL
• SUSTAINABILITY
• SYSTEM

Because a biomass gasification station includes various hazard factors, hazard assessment is needed and significant. In this article, the cloud model (CM) is employed to improve set pair analysis (SPA), and a novel hazard assessment method for a biomass gasification station is proposed based on the cloud model-set pair analysis (CM-SPA). In this method, cloud weight is proposed to be the weight of index. In contrast to the index weight of other methods, cloud weight is shown by cloud descriptors; hence, the randomness and fuzziness of cloud weight will make it effective to reflect the linguistic variables of experts. Then, the cloud connection degree (CCD) is proposed to replace the connection degree (CD); the calculation algorithm of CCD is also worked out. By utilizing the CCD, the hazard assessment results are shown by some normal clouds, and the normal clouds are reflected by cloud descriptors; meanwhile, the hazard grade is confirmed by analyzing the cloud descriptors. After that, two biomass gasification stations undergo hazard assessment via CM-SPA and AHP based SPA, respectively. The comparison of assessment results illustrates that the CM-SPA is suitable and effective for the hazard assessment of a biomass gasification station and that CM-SPA will make the assessment results more reasonable and scientific.

• 出版日期2017-1-11
• 单位东北大学