Downscaling and visioning of mountain snow packs and other climate change implications in North Vancouver, British Columbia

作者：Cohen Stewart Jay^*; Sheppard Stephen; Shaw Alison; Flanders David; Burch Sarah; Taylor Bill; Hutchinson David; Cannon Alex; Hamilton Stuart; Burton Brent; Carmichael Jeff

来源：Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 2012, 17(1): 25-49.

DOI：10.1007/s11027-011-9307-9

• Adaptation
• Climate change
• Participatory process
• Snowpack modelling
• Urban planning
• Visualization
• Water management

This paper provides an overview of a collaborative study on visualizing climate change at the local scale. A conceptual framework has been developed, in which local scenarios and visualizations of climate change impacts and response were created to facilitate local dialogue on incorporating climate change into long-term planning and implementation of community development decisions. As part of a larger effort to generate a new integrated participatory visioning process, this paper describes a case study of the District of North Vancouver which created visualizations of changing mountain snow and landscape conditions, and provides new insights on issues and dilemmas in using realistic landscape visualizations to depict scientific modelling projections, local responses to climate change, and uncertainty. Results from this study suggest that the visualizations, and subsequent dialogue sessions, did influence emotional response to climate change as well as self-assessed understanding of adaptation and mitigation response options. However, there is a need to test this visioning process with larger heterogeneous groups of participants in order to better assess its effectiveness in enabling dialogue on local responses to climate change.

• 出版日期2012-1