Daily Peak Load Forecasting by Taguchi's T Method

作者：Negishi Shintaro^*; Morimoto Yusuke; Takayama Satoshi; Ishigame Atsushi

来源：Electrical Engineering in Japan, 2017, 201(1): 57-65.

DOI：10.1002/eej.22988

• daily peak load forecasting
• MT system
• Taguchi's T method

In this paper, a new technique of daily peak load forecasting is proposed. At first, we propose nonlinear correction T method as improvement technique of T method that is one of the multivariate analysis techniques, called Mahalanobis-Taguchi (MT) system, suggested in Quality Control. Moreover, we examine the daily peak load forecasting technique, which is based on data in the last year on a forecasting day, by T method and nonlinear correction T method. Furthermore, we examine the technique, which is based on the data of most recent several weeks of a forecasting day, by the T method and Nonlinear correction T method. In addition, the effectiveness of the proposed method by comparing the multiple regression analysis is discussed.

• 出版日期2017-10